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Thesis replay

SELL ETHUSDWIN +0.26R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/19/2026, 10:40:04 AM · closed 10/19/2026, 12:15:13 PM

Entry

2,422.65

Stop

2,422.65

Target

2,404.40

Exit

2,422.65

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.4.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.4.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.08%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days: 3 trades, 1 wins (33%), expectancy +0.06R per trade. The entry theory has an edge here.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council backs this setup 3–2.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 10:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 42, with room to run down.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 1.6× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range, the right side for a short.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bullish, against this short. Counter-trend intraday trades need extra care.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold ETHUSD at 2,422.65 with the stop at 2,422.65 (0.00 risk) and the target at 2,404.40. Risked $50 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 2,422.65: WIN +0.26R (+$13.22).

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