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Thesis replay

SELL BTCUSDLOSS -1.00R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/17/2026, 11:05:32 PM · closed 10/18/2026, 12:53:11 AM

Entry

81,259.25

Stop

81,468.82

Target

80,777.54

Exit

81,468.82

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.3.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.3.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is -0.04%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council backs this setup 3–2.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 23:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 38, with room to run down.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 2.3× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the discount half of yesterday's range. Shorts from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bearish, trading with the tide.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold BTCUSD at 81,259.25 with the stop at 81,468.82 (209.57 risk) and the target at 80,777.54. Risked $50 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 81,468.82: LOSS -1.00R (-$50.00).

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