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Thesis replay

SELL ETHUSDLOSS -1.00R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 9/29/2026, 2:51:13 AM · closed 9/29/2026, 3:28:55 AM

Entry

2,657.55

Stop

2,666.56

Target

2,637.83

Exit

2,666.56

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.11.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.11.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.32%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days: 3 trades, 1 wins (33%), expectancy +0.25R per trade. The entry theory has an edge here.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council voted 0–2 against, so the Risk Room halves the size.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 02:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 24, already stretched down. Entering now means chasing exhausted momentum.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold ETHUSD at 2,657.55 with the stop at 2,666.56 (9.01 risk) and the target at 2,637.83. Risked $251 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 2,666.56: LOSS -1.00R (-$250.52).

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