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Thesis replay

BUY ETHUSDLOSS -1.00R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 9/26/2026, 9:01:59 AM · closed 9/26/2026, 9:14:12 AM

Entry

2,690.26

Stop

2,681.66

Target

2,741.30

Exit

2,681.66

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 1 · Bias room: which way is the big money leaning?

    4H and 1H are both bullish, and the 15M confirms.

  2. 2 · Liquidity room: were the stops raided?

    Stops at 2,685.50 were raided (wick to 2,684.99) and price closed back inside.

    • Liquidity sweep. Stops at 2,685.50 were raided (wick to 2,684.99) and price closed back inside.
    • Rejection after the sweep. No convincing rejection wick. Without it, a sweep can easily turn into a genuine breakout that runs over your stop.
  3. 3 · Structure room: did the market confirm the turn?

    A large, fast candle moved away from the extreme — institutional intent.

    • 5M displacement. A large, fast candle moved away from the extreme — institutional intent.
    • Change of character (CHoCH). The first swing against the old mini-trend has broken.
    • Break of structure (BOS). A follow-through break confirmed the new direction.
  4. 4 · Entry room: was price back at a fair price?

    Price is back inside the fair value gap / 50% zone — the efficient entry.

  5. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:4.7.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:4.7.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.00%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 4.1 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  6. Execution: the order

    Bought ETHUSD at 2,690.26 with the stop at 2,681.66 (8.60 risk) and the target at 2,741.30. Risked $250 of the paper account.

  7. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 2,681.66: LOSS -1.00R (-$250.00).

VIZIONN's debrief

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Paper trading & education only. Not financial advice.