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Thesis replay

BUY BTCUSDWIN +2.81R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/2/2026, 9:38:05 PM · closed 10/4/2026, 2:19:35 PM

Entry

84,493.09

Stop

84,253.33

Target

85,591.32

Exit

85,166.89

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:4.58.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:4.58.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is -0.88%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council backs this setup 2–1.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 21:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 40, with room to run up.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 2.6× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought BTCUSD at 84,493.09 with the stop at 84,253.33 (239.76 risk) and the target at 85,591.32. Risked $246 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by manual at 85,166.89: WIN +2.81R (+$691.27).

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Paper trading & education only. Not financial advice.