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Thesis replay

BUY BTCUSDLOSS -1.00R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/5/2026, 4:24:23 AM · closed 10/5/2026, 4:32:50 AM

Entry

85,795.61

Stop

85,529.64

Target

86,853.70

Exit

85,529.64

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:3.98.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:3.98.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.29%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 1 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council is split 2–2, so size stays unchanged.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 04:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 27, with room to run up.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 2.1× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range. Longs from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought BTCUSD at 85,795.61 with the stop at 85,529.64 (265.97 risk) and the target at 86,853.70. Risked $251 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 85,529.64: LOSS -1.00R (-$251.22).

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