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Thesis replay

BUY ETHUSDWIN +5.77R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/9/2026, 11:01:55 PM · closed 10/11/2026, 9:57:15 PM

Entry

2,487.16

Stop

2,480.46

Target

2,561.10

Exit

2,525.83

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:11.49.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:11.49.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is -0.25%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 2 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council is split 2–2, so size stays unchanged.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 23:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 70, already stretched up. Entering now means chasing exhausted momentum.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 2.6× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the discount half of yesterday's range, the right side for a long.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought ETHUSD at 2,487.16 with the stop at 2,480.46 (6.70 risk) and the target at 2,561.10. Risked $247 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by manual at 2,525.83: WIN +5.77R (+$1,423.85).

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