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Thesis replay

BUY BTCUSDWIN +2.07R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/11/2026, 7:17:56 AM · closed 10/11/2026, 3:55:40 PM

Entry

83,053.32

Stop

82,872.44

Target

83,427.74

Exit

83,427.74

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.07.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.07.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.00%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council voted 1–3 against, so the Risk Room halves the size.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. We're inside a high-volume killzone, when real moves tend to start.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 86, already stretched up. Entering now means chasing exhausted momentum.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 5.0× the 5M ATR. Too wide: it shrinks the position and the edge.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range. Longs from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought BTCUSD at 83,053.32 with the stop at 82,872.44 (180.88 risk) and the target at 83,427.74. Risked $123 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by take profit at 83,427.74: WIN +2.07R (+$255.33).

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