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Thesis replay

SELL ETHUSDWIN +1.95R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/21/2026, 9:22:20 AM · closed 10/21/2026, 10:16:25 AM

Entry

2,460.20

Stop

2,451.06

Target

2,444.22

Exit

2,444.22

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.38.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.38.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.00%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days: 6 trades, 2 wins (33%), expectancy +0.25R per trade. The entry theory has an edge here.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council backs this setup 5–1.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. We're inside a high-volume killzone, when real moves tend to start.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 79, with room to run down.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 1.3× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range, the right side for a short.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bullish, against this short. Counter-trend intraday trades need extra care.
    • Orion · Enough confluence. 4 supporting signals beyond the core rules.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold ETHUSD at 2,460.20 with the stop at 2,451.06 (9.14 risk) and the target at 2,444.22. Risked $50 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by take profit at 2,444.22: WIN +1.95R (+$97.39).

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