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Thesis replay

BUY BTCUSDLOSS -0.72R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 9/27/2026, 8:00:40 PM · closed 9/27/2026, 10:02:46 PM

Entry

84,736.00

Stop

84,274.91

Target

85,600.82

Exit

84,404.44

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 1 · Bias room: which way is the big money leaning?

    4H and 1H are both bullish, and the 15M confirms.

  2. 2 · Liquidity room: were the stops raided?

    Stops at 84,612.16 were raided (wick to 84,585.64) and price closed back inside.

    • Liquidity sweep. Stops at 84,612.16 were raided (wick to 84,585.64) and price closed back inside.
    • Rejection after the sweep. No convincing rejection wick. Without it, a sweep can easily turn into a genuine breakout that runs over your stop.
  3. 3 · Structure room: did the market confirm the turn?

    A large, fast candle moved away from the extreme — institutional intent.

    • 5M displacement. A large, fast candle moved away from the extreme — institutional intent.
    • Change of character (CHoCH). The first swing against the old mini-trend has broken.
    • Break of structure (BOS). A follow-through break confirmed the new direction.
  4. 4 · Entry room: was price back at a fair price?

    Price is back inside the fair value gap / 50% zone — the efficient entry.

  5. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.0.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.0.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.00%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 0.8 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  6. Execution: the order

    Bought BTCUSD at 84,736.00 with the stop at 84,274.91 (461.09 risk) and the target at 85,600.82. Risked $249 of the paper account.

  7. Exit

    Closed by manual at 84,404.44: LOSS -0.72R (-$178.87).

VIZIONN's debrief

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Paper trading & education only. Not financial advice.