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Thesis replay

SELL ETHUSDWIN +2.16R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/4/2026, 11:12:02 PM · closed 10/5/2026, 4:08:14 AM

Entry

2,731.93

Stop

2,741.31

Target

2,711.71

Exit

2,711.71

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.07.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.07.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +1.81%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 0 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council backs this setup 3–1.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 23:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 81, with room to run down.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 1.5× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range, the right side for a short.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold ETHUSD at 2,731.93 with the stop at 2,741.31 (9.38 risk) and the target at 2,711.71. Risked $250 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by take profit at 2,711.71: WIN +2.16R (+$539.99).

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