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Thesis replay

SELL ETHUSDWIN +0.25R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/23/2026, 8:09:46 AM · closed 10/23/2026, 10:20:47 AM

Entry

2,400.98

Stop

2,400.98

Target

2,378.84

Exit

2,400.98

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.13.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.13.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is +0.00%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days: 3 trades, 2 wins (67%), expectancy +1.41R per trade. The entry theory has an edge here.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council voted 2–4 against, so the Risk Room halves the size.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. We're inside a high-volume killzone, when real moves tend to start.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 54, with room to run down.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 3.1× the 5M ATR. Too wide: it shrinks the position and the edge.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the discount half of yesterday's range. Shorts from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bullish, against this short. Counter-trend intraday trades need extra care.
    • Orion · Enough confluence. 2 supporting signals beyond the core rules. Orion wants at least 3 before trusting the setup.
  3. Execution: the order

    Sold ETHUSD at 2,400.98 with the stop at 2,400.98 (0.00 risk) and the target at 2,378.84. Risked $27 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 2,400.98: WIN +0.25R (+$6.75).

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