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Thesis replay

BUY ETHUSDWIN +1.57R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/18/2026, 11:48:48 PM · closed 10/19/2026, 1:09:22 AM

Entry

2,405.32

Stop

2,405.32

Target

2,420.04

Exit

2,420.04

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.09.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.09.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is -0.05%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days found only 2 qualifying setup(s) — not enough to prove an edge, so the office trades this market at half risk.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council voted 2–3 against, so the Risk Room halves the size.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 23:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 82, already stretched up. Entering now means chasing exhausted momentum.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 1.3× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range. Longs from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bullish, trading with the tide.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought ETHUSD at 2,405.32 with the stop at 2,405.32 (0.00 risk) and the target at 2,420.04. Risked $50 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by take profit at 2,420.04: WIN +1.57R (+$78.74).

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