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Thesis replay

BUY ETHUSDLOSS -1.00R

Live price (OANDA / Coinbase) · Your broker's price may differ slightly (spread).

Opened 10/19/2026, 11:26:16 PM · closed 10/20/2026, 12:06:46 AM

Entry

2,407.09

Stop

2,400.70

Target

2,420.04

Exit

2,400.70

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Step by step: how the agents decided

  1. 5 · Risk room: is the trade worth taking?

    Planned R:R is 1:2.05.

    • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2. Planned R:R is 1:2.05.
    • Daily loss limit. Today's P&L is -0.06%, inside the 2% limit.
    • Backtested edge on this market. Backtest over 2.5 days: 4 trades, 2 wins (50%), expectancy +0.74R per trade. The entry theory has an edge here.
  2. 6 · Graduate council: do the specialists agree?

    The graduate council voted 1–4 against, so the Risk Room halves the size.

    • Nova · Inside a London/New York killzone. It's 23:00 UTC, outside the London (07–10) and New York (12–15) killzones. Moves here are slower and fake-outs are more common.
    • Rex · Momentum not exhausted. 15M RSI is 71, already stretched up. Entering now means chasing exhausted momentum.
    • Ivy · Stop sized to volatility. The stop is 2.2× the 5M ATR, a sensible size.
    • Kai · Entry in discount/premium. The entry sits in the premium half of yesterday's range. Longs from there have poorer reward-to-risk.
    • Zara · Daily candle agrees. Today's daily candle is bearish, against this long. Counter-trend intraday trades need extra care.
  3. Execution: the order

    Bought ETHUSD at 2,407.09 with the stop at 2,400.70 (6.39 risk) and the target at 2,420.04. Risked $49 of the paper account.

  4. Exit

    Closed by stop loss at 2,400.70: LOSS -1.00R (-$49.38).

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